The FT 2020 results page displays US presidential, Senate and House races as called by the Associated Press. We categorise states into “expected” categories based on pre-election polls. States where the difference in poll numbers between Biden and Trump is more than 10 percentage points are classified as states we expect to be solidly in favour of one candidate. States where the race is within 5 percentage points and states that Trump won by less than a percentage point in 2016 are classified as expected ‘toss-up’ states. If a state had less than two polls in the 60 days prior to election day, we use the Cook Political Report Electoral College Ratings to assign it a rating. We consider Cook’s ‘likely’ and ‘lean’ states ‘leaning’.

We categorise states into “expected” categories based on pre-election polls. States where the difference in poll numbers between Biden and Trump is more than 10 percentage points are classified as states we expect to be solidly in favour of one candidate. States where the race is within 5 percentage points and states that Trump won by less than a percentage point in 2016 are classified as expected ‘toss-up’ states. If a state had less than two polls in the 60 days prior to election day, we use the Cook Political Report Electoral College Ratings to assign it a rating. We consider Cook’s ‘likely’ and ‘lean’ states ‘leaning’.